Artifacts #
What this step produces.
PESTEL Analytical Table #
A table that sorts external factors into political, economic, social, technological, environmental and legal groups and notes how each affects the project.
Cross-Impact Matrix #
A grid showing how each macro factor influences the others, which reveals chains of effects and the factors that drive the rest.
Sensitivity Map #
A map showing how strongly the project outcome reacts to changes in each factor, so attention goes to the factors that matter most.
Opportunities & Threats List #
A prioritized list of opportunities to use and threats to prepare for, drawn from the macro-factor analysis.
Techniques #
Techniques used in this step.
Scenario Trend Scanning #
Looking ahead at trends and building several plausible future scenarios, so the project is tested against more than one possible environment.
Cross-Impact Analysis #
Assessing how changes in one factor push others up or down. It shows hidden links and amplified effects among macro factors.
Weak Signals / Early Signals #
Spotting faint, early hints of change before they become obvious trends, which gives the team time to react to macro shifts.
Weighted Impact Scoring #
Scoring each factor by its impact and likelihood, then weighting the scores, so factors can be ranked objectively instead of by gut feeling.
Explained in this article: Driver-Vulnerability Classification
